- 04 Feb, 2025 S&P: -39.74
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National Security Presidential Memorandum/NSPM-2
bearishThis action significantly increases economic pressure on Iran by expanding sanctions enforcement across multiple sectors. It aims to reduce Iran's oil exports, restrict access to financial systems, and limit military technology transfers. Diplomatic efforts are focused on isolating Iran internationally. Legal measures target support networks for terrorism and address illicit activities such as espionage and sanctions evasion, which could impact various industries globally.
- 03 Feb, 2025 S&P: -24.92
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Progress on the Situation at Our Northern Border
neutralThe executive order imposes tariffs on Canada but delays their implementation until March 4, 2025. This pause allows time to assess the effectiveness of Canada's actions in addressing the border issues. The uncertainty about whether the tariffs will be implemented or not could lead to market volatility. However, without immediate tariffs, there is no direct impact yet. Therefore, the overall impact on the stock market remains neutral.
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A Plan for Establishing a United States Sovereign Wealth Fund
neutralThe executive order establishes a plan to create a sovereign wealth fund aimed at promoting fiscal sustainability and economic security. However, the impact on the stock market is uncertain because it depends on various factors such as funding mechanisms, investment strategies, and governance structure, which are still in the planning phase. The market may remain neutral until more concrete details emerge.
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Progress on the Situation at Our Southern Border
neutralThe Executive Order imposes tariffs on Mexico but delays their implementation until March 4, 2025. The delay is intended to assess whether Mexico's actions will alleviate the border crisis. While this could lead to economic uncertainty, it also provides time for resolution without immediate trade disruption.
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Career and Technical Education Month, 2025
bullishThe executive order emphasizes investment in career and technical education, which is likely to lead to a more skilled workforce. This could increase productivity and innovation, benefiting technology and manufacturing sectors. Additionally, the focus on emerging technologies suggests support for high-growth industries like AI and renewable energy, which are typically bullish for the stock market.
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American Heart Month, 2025
neutralThe executive order primarily focuses on raising awareness about heart disease through American Heart Month. While it mentions efforts to lower healthcare costs and address factors contributing to heart disease, there are no specific policy changes or new regulations that would directly impact the stock market. The emphasis is on public health initiatives and personal responsibility rather than actionable measures affecting businesses or industries. Therefore, without concrete policies or major shifts in healthcare strategy, the order is unlikely to have a significant immediate effect on stock market performance.
- 01 Feb, 2025
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Imposing Duties to Address the Flow of Illicit Drugs Across Our Northern Border
bearishThe tariffs imposed on Canadian goods will likely lead to retaliatory measures from Canada, potentially harming both economies.
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Imposing Duties to Address the Synthetic Opioid Supply Chain in the People’s Republic of China
neutralThis executive order imposes tariffs on Chinese goods to combat the opioid crisis. The impact is low because China has already taken steps to control fentanyl exports, and the effectiveness of tariffs in addressing this issue is uncertain.
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Imposing Duties to Address the Situation at Our Southern Border
bearishFirst, economically, tariffs could increase prices for Mexican goods in the US, leading to inflation. This might affect American consumers and businesses that rely on these imports. For Mexico, their exports could decline, harming industries like agriculture and manufacturing, which are significant contributors to their economy. Politically, this move may strain US-Mexico relations. Mexico might retaliate with their own tariffs on US goods, leading to a trade war. This could complicate cooperation on issues like immigration and drug trafficking. Domestically, in the US, there might be political fallout depending on public opinion regarding immigration policies. Socially, both countries could face challenges. In the US, higher prices might affect lower-income families more severely. In Mexico, job losses in export industries could increase unemployment and social unrest. Additionally, this could impact migration patterns if economic conditions worsen in Mexico. There's a risk that these measures might not solve the problems but could instead exacerbate economic hardships, potentially increasing migration pressures over time.
- 31 Jan, 2025 S&P: 56.26
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Limiting Lame-Duck Collective Bargaining Agreements That Improperly Attempt to Constrain the New President
bullish...the executive order targets CBAs during a transitional period, which might lead to increased flexibility for the new administration, allowing for more business-friendly policies. This could boost market confidence as investors anticipate a pro-business environment.